Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 8:11 p.m.

The MLB slate on Saturday includes the Toronto Blue Jays taking on the San Diego Padres.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs Padres Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays (45-49) vs. San Diego Padres (46-48)
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Petco Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: Padres.TV and SNET

Blue Jays vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOR: (-126) | SD: (+108)
• Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+136) | SD: +1.5 (-164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)

Blue Jays vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Trey Yesavage (Blue Jays) - 4-4, 3.31 ERA vs Walker Buehler (Padres) - 5-5, 5.07 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Blue Jays will send Trey Yesavage (4-4) to the mound, while Walker Buehler (5-5) will answer the bell for the Padres. Yesavage's team is 4-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Yesavage's team is 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Padres are 12-6-0 ATS in Buehler's 18 starts with a set spread. The Padres are 7-4 in Buehler's 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (50.6%)

Blue Jays vs Padres Moneyline

• The Blue Jays vs Padres moneyline has Toronto as a -126 favorite, while San Diego is a +108 underdog at home.

Blue Jays vs Padres Spread

• The Blue Jays are at the Padres and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Blue Jays are +136 to cover the runline, with the Padres being -164.

Blue Jays vs Padres Over/Under

• Blue Jays versus Padres, on July 11, has an over/under of 8.5, with the over being +100 and the under -122.

Bet on Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres on FanDuel today!

Blue Jays vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (56.6%) in those contests.
• This season Toronto has been victorious 17 times in 33 chances when named as a favorite of at least -126 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Blue Jays have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 49 of 93 chances this season.
• The Blue Jays have an against the spread mark of 45-48-0 in 93 games with a line this season.
• The Padres have gone 23-29 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.2% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +108 or longer, San Diego has a 13-23 record (winning just 36.1% of its games).
• The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 94 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 40 of those games (40-53-1).
• The Padres have a 50-44-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.2% of the time).

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 86 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .345. He has a .262 batting average and a slugging percentage of .351.
• Among qualified hitters, he ranks 63rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 50th, and he is 130th in slugging.
• Guerrero has hit safely in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has hit seven homers this season while driving in 30 runs. He's batting .298 this season and slugging .430 with an on-base percentage of .319.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he ranks 12th in batting average, 97th in on-base percentage and 74th in slugging percentage.
• Clement takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double and an RBI.
• Kazuma Okamoto leads Toronto in total hits (79) this season, and 33 of those have gone for extra bases.
• Okamoto enters this game with four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with three home runs, a walk and eight RBIs.
• Daulton Varsho is batting .243 with a .310 OBP and 24 RBI for Toronto this season.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado is hitting .196 with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 44 walks. He's slugging .417 with an on-base percentage of .287.
• He ranks 148th in batting average, 138th in on-base percentage and 84th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the majors.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. paces his team with a .342 on-base percentage, and has a club-high .381 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .282.
• His batting average ranks 32nd among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 58th, and he is 114th in slugging.
• Gavin Sheets has racked up 62 hits, a team-high for the Padres.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .225 with seven doubles, nine home runs and 38 walks.

Blue Jays vs Padres Head to Head

• 7/10/2026: 5-3 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/22/2025: 7-6 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/21/2025: 14-0 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 5/20/2025: 3-0 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 4/21/2024: 6-3 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 4/20/2024: 5-2 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 4/19/2024: 5-1 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 7/20/2023: 4-0 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 7/19/2023: 2-0 SD (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/18/2023: 9-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)

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