Mets vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 4:12 p.m.

In MLB action on Saturday, the New York Mets face the Boston Red Sox.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mets vs Red Sox Game Info

• New York Mets (40-55) vs. Boston Red Sox (44-48)
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, SNY, and NESN

Mets vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-146) | BOS: (+124)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+152) | BOS: +1.5 (-184)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Mets vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta (Mets) - 5-7, 4.68 ERA vs Eduardo Rivera (Red Sox) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The probable starters are Freddy Peralta (5-7) for the Mets and Eduardo Rivera for the Red Sox. Peralta and his team have a record of 9-10-0 against the spread when he starts. Peralta's team is 7-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. Rivera and his team were underdogs on the moneyline each game he pitched a season ago.

Mets vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (56.7%)

Mets vs Red Sox Moneyline

• New York is a -146 favorite on the moneyline, while Boston is a +124 underdog on the road.

Mets vs Red Sox Spread

• The Red Sox are at +1.5 on the runline against the Mets. The Red Sox are -184 to cover the spread, and the Mets are +152.

Mets vs Red Sox Over/Under

• An over/under of 7.5 has been set for Mets-Red Sox on July 11, with the over being -120 and the under -102.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Mets have been chosen as favorites in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (52.6%) in those games.
• This year New York has won 11 of 24 games when listed as at least -146 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Mets have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 43 of 92 chances this season.
• The Mets have posted a record of 40-52-0 against the spread this season.
• The Red Sox have gone 15-17 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.9% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, Boston has a 2-4 record (winning just 33.3% of its games).
• The Red Sox have played in 91 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-48-2).
• The Red Sox have a 42-49-0 record ATS this season (covering 46.2% of the time).

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto leads New York with 80 hits and an OBP of .412 this season. He has a .297 batting average and a slugging percentage of .576.
• Among all qualified hitters in the majors, he is 14th in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Soto has hit safely in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .267 with three home runs, seven walks and eight RBIs.
• Carson Benge has 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 28 walks. He's batting .269 and slugging .410 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• He is 48th in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage and 92nd in slugging in the major leagues.
• Benge heads into this game looking to extend his five-game hit streak. In his last five games he is hitting .529 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBIs.
• Bo Bichette has hit 10 homers with a team-high .377 SLG this season.
• A.J. Ewing is batting .282 with a .358 OBP and 24 RBI for New York this season.
• Ewing enters this matchup on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .409 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu has 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .266. He's slugging .436 with an on-base percentage of .336.
• He is 58th in batting average, 70th in on-base percentage and 68th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters in MLB.
• Abreu hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is slugging .437 to pace his team. He has a batting average of .283 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he is 31st in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage and 66th in slugging percentage.
• Caleb Durbin has 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 20 walks while batting .225.
• Jarren Duran is batting .196 with 10 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 27 walks.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!