Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 16

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.

The Thursday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.

All the info you need to make smart bets on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Phillies vs Mets Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (54-43) vs. New York Mets (40-57)
• Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
• Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: ESPN

Phillies vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-126) | NYM: (+108)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+146) | NYM: +1.5 (-178)
• Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Phillies vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 3-6, 5.75 ERA vs Christian Scott (Mets) - 2-1, 3.17 ERA

The probable starters are Aaron Nola (3-6) for the Phillies and Christian Scott (2-1) for the Mets. Nola's team is 5-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Nola's team has been victorious in 41.7% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-7. The Mets have gone 7-5-0 against the spread when Scott starts. The Mets were the moneyline underdog for two Scott starts this season -- they split the games.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (64%)

Phillies vs Mets Moneyline

• New York is a +108 underdog on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a -126 favorite at home.

Phillies vs Mets Spread

• The Phillies are hosting the Mets and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Phillies are +146 to cover the runline, with the Mets being -178.

Phillies vs Mets Over/Under

• A combined run total of 9.5 has been set for Phillies-Mets on July 16, with the over at -115 and the under at -105.

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Phillies vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Phillies have been victorious in 44, or 63.8%, of the 69 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This year Philadelphia has won 41 of 62 games when listed as at least -126 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Phillies have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 42 of 95 chances this season.
• In 95 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 36-59-0 against the spread.
• The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline 32 total times this season. They've gone 7-25 in those games.
• New York is 2-14 (winning only 12.5% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
• In the 94 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-45-6).
• The Mets have a 41-53-0 record against the spread this season (covering 43.6% of the time).

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper has 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 60 walks while hitting .260. He has an on-base percentage of .365 and a slugging percentage of .497.
• Among qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 63rd, his on-base percentage ranks 31st, and he is 20th in slugging.
• Harper hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .158 with a double and three walks.
• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in OBP (.367) and total hits (89) this season. He's batting .254 while slugging .560.
• He ranks 76th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage and sixth in slugging among qualified batters.
• Schwarber brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Brandon Marsh has an OPS of .829, fueled by an OBP of .339 and a team-best slugging percentage of .490 this season.
• Bryson Stott has been key for Philadelphia with 80 hits, an OBP of .308 plus a slugging percentage of .393.
• Stott enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, two walks and two RBIs.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has 80 hits with a .405 on-base percentage, leading the Mets in both categories. He's batting .290 and slugging .562.
• Including all qualified hitters in MLB, he is 19th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
• Bo Bichette paces his team with a .376 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .255 with an on-base percentage of .300.
• He ranks 74th in batting average, 128th in on-base percentage and 117th in slugging percentage in the majors.
• Carson Benge is batting .263 with 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 29 walks.
• Marcus Semien is batting .214 with eight doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Phillies vs Mets Head to Head

• 6/28/2026: 5-4 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 6/27/2026: 6-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 6/26/2026: 2-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 6/21/2026: 6-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)
• 6/20/2026: 15-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 6/18/2026: 6-4 NYM (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 9/11/2025: 6-4 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 9/10/2025: 11-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 9/9/2025: 9-3 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 9/8/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)

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