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6:50 AM

AU - Murray Bridge - Race 7

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STEEL TSUNAMI (6) showed good early toe here second up before being run down late by fitter horses. Strops fitter again and gets an important 7lbs claim. Expecting her to be prominent again and have plenty to offer when they sprint. NOSTRYIA (4) missed by a head when resuming and has since caught the eye with two good late efforts. Will likely get a long way back from the draw but if the tempo is genuine he can cause a late scare. CHARLESFORT (7) made light work of his rivals fresh when pulling away for a big win in the slop. Winning hoop stays on and claims 4lbs. Up to this. ROCKTAGON (5) dug deep to go on better last time after being run down late at Bordertown two back. Drawn sticky but has found winning form and is 1/1 at this track and trip. Have to consider. WHOOPS A DAISY (15) doesn't win out of turn but is doing enough to be considered.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Steel Tsunami silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 13 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ 0-62 on June 6 over 5f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind So Polite carrying 129lbs at $12. Last start did the work up front then tired 5th of 16 at this track Cg&E Bm64 on July 4 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Riche D'amour with 119lbs at $26. Great chance to atone.

1st Pick
6

Steel Tsunami

Jockey: Jemma Gutte

Trainer: Will Clarken

J: Jemma Gutte

T: Will Clarken

112---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up sat behind the speed prior to fading 11th of 13 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ 0-62 on June 6 over 5f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind So Polite carrying 129lbs at $12. Last start did the work up front then tired 5th of 16 at this track Cg&E Bm64 on July 4 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Riche D'amour with 119lbs at $26. Great chance to atone.

4
Nostryia silk

Last start 3rd of 12 at Morphettville Bm56 on July 8 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Sharendipity with 128lbs at $6.50. The run before that 6th of 14 at Morphettville Parks Bm62 on June 27 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Bardigrub with 129lbs at $26. Will prove hard to beat again.

2nd Pick
4

Nostryia

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Kate Halliday

J: Jason Holder

T: Kate Halliday

112---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 3rd of 12 at Morphettville Bm56 on July 8 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Sharendipity with 128lbs at $6.50. The run before that 6th of 14 at Morphettville Parks Bm62 on June 27 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Bardigrub with 129lbs at $26. Will prove hard to beat again.

7
Charlesfort silk

Second run back. First-up after four months won by 2.5 len at Bordertown 0-54 June 28 over 6 ½f in the wet defeating Territorian with 130lbs at $8. Previously second-up 9th of 13 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Vexatious Dancer with 119lbs at $31. Sure to go well again. Big chance despite the rise in class.

3rd Pick
7

Charlesfort

Jockey: Tala Hutchinson

Trainer: David Tootell

J: Tala Hutchinson

T: David Tootell

85---12%8/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months won by 2.5 len at Bordertown 0-54 June 28 over 6 ½f in the wet defeating Territorian with 130lbs at $8. Previously second-up 9th of 13 at Morphettville Bm70 on November 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Vexatious Dancer with 119lbs at $31. Sure to go well again. Big chance despite the rise in class.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.