AU - Murray Bridge - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

17.5K

VIEW

Verdict

NAVY ROK (9) has flashed home into fourth in his two runs back and from a better draw this time he will prove awfully hard to hold out if he can settle a pair or two closer. CONTRARY (14) has left herself with too much to do in her last two starts but has been warming late, particularly last time when finishing third. NO BAIL (10) is another one to keep an eye on bursting through late. Finally gets a low draw and should be at his top fourth-up. Mile should suit. WINSTON'S PRIDE (12) was a big improver third-up at headquarters when chasing gamely into second, beaten less than a length. Should be hitting his straps now and is drawn cosy. Bold showing is anticipated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Morphettville Parks 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Australia Forever with 127lbs at $4.60. Last start 4th of 13 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Bel Ragazzo carrying 127lbs at $10. Very fit now and a winning chance. 1st Pick 9 Navy Rok Jockey: Harry Grace Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Harry Grace T: Phillip Stokes	102	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 11 at Morphettville Parks 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Australia Forever with 127lbs at $4.60. Last start 4th of 13 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Bel Ragazzo carrying 127lbs at $10. Very fit now and a winning chance.
14	Last start 3rd of 14 at Morphettville 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Prancing Fool with 114lbs at $5. The run before that 9th of 14 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Oaklands on June 27 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Pretty Baby with 119lbs at $101. Heading in the right direction and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 14 Contrary Jockey: Tala Hutchinson Trainer: Dan Clarken & Oopy Macgillivray J: Tala Hutchinson T: Dan Clarken & Oopy Macgillivray	162	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 14 at Morphettville 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Prancing Fool with 114lbs at $5. The run before that 9th of 14 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Oaklands on June 27 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Pretty Baby with 119lbs at $101. Heading in the right direction and looks hard to beat.
10	At the latest run 7th of 13 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Bel Ragazzo carrying 127lbs at $17. The race before that 5th of 14 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 5 ¼f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Trade Game with 120lbs at $8. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 10 No Bail Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: Peter & Belinda Blanch J: Teagan Voorham T: Peter & Belinda Blanch	102	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 13 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Bel Ragazzo carrying 127lbs at $17. The race before that 5th of 14 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 5 ¼f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind Trade Game with 120lbs at $8. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.