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4:20 AM

AU - Murray Bridge - Race 3

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AMICAL (1) showed good tactical speed fresh at Balaklava but tired late into fourth. Has been kept fresh with 33 days in between and will prove tougher to reel in with added fitness. MR VEXATIOUS (5) has mixed his form in his debut prep, producing a better run last time at headquarters when sticking on gamely into fourth. Backs up quickly and if he improves again he's right in the mix. MY CHERIE AMOR (8) was much better last time at Balaklava when sent forward, only to be run down late. They should look to do the same from the wide alley and with added fitness she might be able to steal it. IMPENDING FURY (3) returns and makes his stable debut for the Rutten camp. Form around him last campaign stacks up and he reunites with Holder, who will need to be on top of his fame from the wide draw. Keeping safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Amical silk

Second-up. First start didn't finish the race at Gawler 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw October 6 over 6f. Returned from break 4th of 14 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Sahha Sweetie with 122lbs at $3.90. Plenty of improvement to come.

1st Pick
1

Amical

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Ron Daniel & Trish Stanbury

102---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up. First start didn't finish the race at Gawler 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw October 6 over 6f. Returned from break 4th of 14 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Sahha Sweetie with 122lbs at $3.90. Plenty of improvement to come.

5
Mr Vexatious silk

At the latest run 4th of 13 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 8 over 5 ¼f, slow going 3 len behind Sassy Little Miss with 127lbs at $7.50. The start before that couldn't go on with it, 8th of 11 at this track 3yo Sw+P on June 13 over 6f, slow going 11 len behind Like A Drifter carrying 123lbs at $151. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.

2nd Pick
5

Mr Vexatious

Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe

Trainer: Nicole Irwin

J: Stacey Metcalfe

T: Nicole Irwin

122---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run 4th of 13 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 8 over 5 ¼f, slow going 3 len behind Sassy Little Miss with 127lbs at $7.50. The start before that couldn't go on with it, 8th of 11 at this track 3yo Sw+P on June 13 over 6f, slow going 11 len behind Like A Drifter carrying 123lbs at $151. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.

8
My Cherie Amor silk

Third-up today. First-up 8th of 12 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Polunin carrying 122lbs at $71. Second-up set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 8 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 6f, slow going 1.1 len behind Funny Feeling with 122lbs at $12. Ready to show her best.

3rd Pick
8

My Cherie Amor

Jockey: Caitlin Tootell

Trainer: Jon O'connor

J: Caitlin Tootell

T: Jon O'connor

105---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 8th of 12 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Polunin carrying 122lbs at $71. Second-up set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 8 at Balaklava 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 6f, slow going 1.1 len behind Funny Feeling with 122lbs at $12. Ready to show her best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.