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3:45 AM

AU - Murray Bridge - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
17.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ELROND (3) has found the maiden win elusive so far but it certainly hasn't been without trying and a change of scenery could finally unlock him. Has trialled up nicely and keeps Holder. Can make a bright start for the new colours. SENSATIONAL SECRET (12) also resumes and has shown plenty of positive signs so far without being able to land the winning blow. Wouldn't have had to improve much through the break to give this a big shake. FULLHEADOFSTEAM (4) gave a bold sight fresh off a long break before being reeled in late. Was too bad to be true second-up but can bounce back sharply third-up. 4lbs claimer stays on. RENEGE (7) has had plenty of chances to get off the mark but is worth keeping safe in exotics as he will likely spear across to lead from the wide alley.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Elrond silk

Resumes after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw December 7 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Highgrove Rose with 129lbs at $3.90. Previously first up, sixth of 12 at Ipswich Mdn August 20 over 6f, 4.5 len behind She's Fashionable with 132lbs at $13. This is an ideal race to kick off. Everything points to a positive return.

1st Pick
3

Elrond

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Matt Whelan

J: Jason Holder

T: Matt Whelan

95---27%11/4

Analysis

Resumes after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Sunshine Coast Mdn-Sw December 7 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Highgrove Rose with 129lbs at $3.90. Previously first up, sixth of 12 at Ipswich Mdn August 20 over 6f, 4.5 len behind She's Fashionable with 132lbs at $13. This is an ideal race to kick off. Everything points to a positive return.

12
Sensational Secret silk

Is first-up after a break of eight months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 11 at this track 3yo+ F&M Mdn-Sw November 19 over 6f, 8 len behind One More Song with 127lbs at $2.60. Previously first up, second of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw August 15 over 6f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Catch The Wind carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Draws ideally and is ready to run well.

2nd Pick
12

Sensational Secret

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

J: Non Runner

T: Richard & Chantelle Jolly

113---23%7/2

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of eight months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation seventh of 11 at this track 3yo+ F&M Mdn-Sw November 19 over 6f, 8 len behind One More Song with 127lbs at $2.60. Previously first up, second of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw August 15 over 6f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Catch The Wind carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Draws ideally and is ready to run well.

4
Fullheadofsteam silk

Third-up today. Resuming led but faded 3rd of 11 at Morphettville Parks 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 1.4 len behind Australia Forever with 121lbs at $15. Second run from a spell ran second last of 13 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, on a wet track, 10 len behind Bel Ragazzo carrying 121lbs at $26. Terrific chance to return to form.

3rd Pick
4

Fullheadofsteam

Jockey: Tala Hutchinson

Trainer: David Tootell

J: Tala Hutchinson

T: David Tootell

142---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming led but faded 3rd of 11 at Morphettville Parks 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 6 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 1.4 len behind Australia Forever with 121lbs at $15. Second run from a spell ran second last of 13 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, on a wet track, 10 len behind Bel Ragazzo carrying 121lbs at $26. Terrific chance to return to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.