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6:30 AM

AU - Mildura - Race 8

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Tough finish. ALZARO (14) is knocking on the door having finished third in her past couple of starts, chasing well off a very slow speed at Ballarat Synthetic latest. Not sure she wants it too soft but we should be on a drying surface and she's good enough to win this. There was little between ZORRO'S FLIGHT (3) and EL TERCERO (4) when they finished 1-2 in that order last start at Sale. Both were second up, Zorro's Flight just proving too strong. Doubt there's much between the pair again. SHE'S ANN IDEA (13) was a dominant winner on debut at Ballarat Synthetic and was well backed there. Now to turf and drawn poorly but respecting. ATTAIN (8) is going okay and has each-way claims in an open race.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Alzaro silk

Form hard to fault. Last start got back early 3rd in a small field at Ballarat Synthetic Bm66 on June 24 over 7f, head behind Male Model with 122lbs at $4.60. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 on May 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Heiwana Tamashi with 127lbs at $4.40. Sets up well and should take beating.

1st Pick
14

Alzaro

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Teo Nugent

T: Ciaron Maher

138---19%9/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start got back early 3rd in a small field at Ballarat Synthetic Bm66 on June 24 over 7f, head behind Male Model with 122lbs at $4.60. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 on May 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Heiwana Tamashi with 127lbs at $4.40. Sets up well and should take beating.

3
Zorro's Flight silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Donald Bm66 on June 9 over 6f, slow going nose behind Come Along Jeffrey with 129lbs at $2.70. Last start won by a nose at Sale Bm62 June 28 over 7f on a heavy track defeating El Tercero with 133lbs at $7. Can go on with it.

2nd Pick
3

Zorro's Flight

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Brad Rawiller

T: Patrick Payne

154---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Donald Bm66 on June 9 over 6f, slow going nose behind Come Along Jeffrey with 129lbs at $2.70. Last start won by a nose at Sale Bm62 June 28 over 7f on a heavy track defeating El Tercero with 133lbs at $7. Can go on with it.

4
El Tercero silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Donald Bm66 on June 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Come Along Jeffrey carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Second-up made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 13 at Sale Bm62 on June 28 over 7f, on a wet track, nose behind Zorro's Flight carrying 133lbs at $11. Will be very hard to hold out from a good gate.

3rd Pick
4

El Tercero

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: John Allen

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

110---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Donald Bm66 on June 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Come Along Jeffrey carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Second-up made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 13 at Sale Bm62 on June 28 over 7f, on a wet track, nose behind Zorro's Flight carrying 133lbs at $11. Will be very hard to hold out from a good gate.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.