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4:40 AM

AU - Mildura - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DEMOJO (1) is the interesting runner, backing up in five days from Caulfield on Saturday. Nothing went right there after a slow start, the placing to a very good horse in Tennessee Bound prior reads very well and respecting the local stable to turn it around quickly on hometown Cup day. BINE (5) has been below her best at her past two having run so well fresh over this trip at Caulfield Heath. It'll be no surprise to see her bounce back. SURPRISATIC (3) is racing consistently, getting home well at Bendigo last time when second up off a short spell. He'll be hard to hold out here. MONIX (6) has won two of his past three and should set up nicely tracking the speed while GRAND HOST (7) comes across from SA in solid form and is worth respecting.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Demojo silk

Most recently ran last of 12 at Caulfield Bm78 on July 11 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Markdel with 126lbs at $13. The run before that 3rd of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 5f, slow going 2 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 134lbs at $31. Much better suited here.

1st Pick
1

Demojo

Jockey: Stephen Vella

Trainer: Kylie Vella

J: Stephen Vella

T: Kylie Vella

173---25%3/1

Analysis

Most recently ran last of 12 at Caulfield Bm78 on July 11 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Markdel with 126lbs at $13. The run before that 3rd of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 5f, slow going 2 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 134lbs at $31. Much better suited here.

5
Bine silk

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on July 1 over 6f, on rain affected going, 13 len behind Humza Bey with 129lbs at $13. The race before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 130lbs at $13. Best form reads well, respecting.

2nd Pick
5

Bine

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Linda Meech

T: Tom Dabernig

137---15%6/1

Analysis

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on July 1 over 6f, on rain affected going, 13 len behind Humza Bey with 129lbs at $13. The race before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 11 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on June 17 over 5f, slow going 5 len behind Tennessee Bound carrying 130lbs at $13. Best form reads well, respecting.

3
Surprisatic silk

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at Swan Hill Bm70 on June 7 over 4f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Per Sempre with 131lbs at $15. Last start 3rd of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Weapon Clear carrying 133lbs at $6. Can improve. Ready to peak now and will take holding out.

3rd Pick
3

Surprisatic

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Brent Stanley

J: John Allen

T: Brent Stanley

132---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 12 at Swan Hill Bm70 on June 7 over 4f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Per Sempre with 131lbs at $15. Last start 3rd of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Weapon Clear carrying 133lbs at $6. Can improve. Ready to peak now and will take holding out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.