AU - Tamworth - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

SPECK (4) returned from an eight-month spell with a flashing light run a fortnight ago, coming from last on the corner to be beaten in a photo over this course and distance. Goes up a level today but was competitive in open company last prep so she will cope. This is a very nice setup for the second run back. NOT WRITTEN OFF (5) raced handy and held off Speck by the barest margin when they clashed here at today's journey recently. Honest mare who excels in 5f dashes. Looks a huge chance to go back-to-back. SUPER SIOUX (9) was hard to miss when fresh from a spell over 4 ¾f at Moree last time out, coming from a mile back to just miss out. Kept fresh since that outing 45 days ago. Draws a far better gate and is a real threat to other fancied runners. NAVY STEEL (6) resumes. Good fresh performer who looks ready to make an immediate impact. CASTLEBAR ROAD (2) led but tired late in a similar race here last start. Each-way chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up. First-up after eight months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at this track Bm74 on July 3 over 5f, slow going nose behind Not Written Off carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at Muswellbrook Bm74 on August 12 over 5f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Manage The Cycle carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Rarely runs a bad race and this looks a perfect second-up assignment. 1st Pick 4 Speck Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Rodney Northam J: Grant Buckley T: Rodney Northam	137	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at this track Bm74 on July 3 over 5f, slow going nose behind Not Written Off carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 5th of 11 at Muswellbrook Bm74 on August 12 over 5f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Manage The Cycle carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Rarely runs a bad race and this looks a perfect second-up assignment.
5	Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm74 July 3 over 5f on a soft track defeating Speck with 126lbs at $3.30. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Scone Bm82 on June 9 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Enterprise Legend carrying 122lbs at $5.50. Going well and can measure up again. 2nd Pick 5 Not Written Off Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Cameron Crockett J: Aaron Bullock T: Cameron Crockett	172	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm74 July 3 over 5f on a soft track defeating Speck with 126lbs at $3.30. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Scone Bm82 on June 9 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Enterprise Legend carrying 122lbs at $5.50. Going well and can measure up again.
9	Second-up. Comes off a 45-day let-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 14 at Moree Bm58 on June 2 over 4 ¾f, slow going 0.5 len behind Prucia carrying 137lbs at $11. Previously second-up won by 1.1 len at this track Bm58 April 1 2025 over 5f in soft going defeating Enniroc carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Genuine performer who should be in the finish. 3rd Pick 9 Super Sioux Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Melissa Dennett J: Izzy Neale T: Melissa Dennett	128	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 45-day let-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 14 at Moree Bm58 on June 2 over 4 ¾f, slow going 0.5 len behind Prucia carrying 137lbs at $11. Previously second-up won by 1.1 len at this track Bm58 April 1 2025 over 5f in soft going defeating Enniroc carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Genuine performer who should be in the finish.

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