AU - Tamworth - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

LIKE LUKEY (4) finished powerfully to comfortably take out a BM66 over this distance two runs back. Struggled in heavy going last time in a run worth overlooking. Handy mare who looks beautifully placed with 55 kg and gets the run of the race from the inside stall. SOUTHERLY BUSTER (9) missed the kick and was never a factor first-up in a 7 ½f Rosehill Highway. Has won here at the mile so a much better run looks on the cards. VISUALISE (3) returned from a brief spell with an eye-catching second in a similar race to this here three weeks ago. Should take a lot from that run and can easily go one better. TACT (6) backs up six days after a mediocre effort in a BM68 over 7f at Newcastle. Drops 2.5 kg and is better placed at the mile. Can improve sharply at the third run back. RHYTHM IS A DANCER (1) was too bad to be true here last time out and deserves one more chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run ran second last of 8 at Dubbo Bm82 on June 28 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Stockholm carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The run before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Warren Bm66 June 14 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Release Point with 131lbs at $31. Worth another chance at the eights from an ideal draw. 1st Pick 4 Like Lukey Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Todd Smith J: Grant Buckley T: Todd Smith	139	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 8 at Dubbo Bm82 on June 28 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Stockholm carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The run before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Warren Bm66 June 14 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Release Point with 131lbs at $31. Worth another chance at the eights from an ideal draw.
9	Second run back. First-up after four months eased back early on 11th of 16 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on June 27 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Portofino with 120lbs at $10. Previously second-up got back early 8th of 14 at Newcastle Highway-C3 on November 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Upwardly Mobile carrying 130lbs at $41. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement in this much weaker race. 2nd Pick 9 Southerly Buster Jockey: Izzy Neale Trainer: Scott Singleton J: Izzy Neale T: Scott Singleton	159	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months eased back early on 11th of 16 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on June 27 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Portofino with 120lbs at $10. Previously second-up got back early 8th of 14 at Newcastle Highway-C3 on November 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Upwardly Mobile carrying 130lbs at $41. Fitter and ready for sharp improvement in this much weaker race.
3	Second-up. First-up after two months 2nd of 9 at this track Bm82 on June 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Bellini Spritz with 121lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Inverell Cl1 on January 1 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bolt Away Now with 123lbs at $7. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Visualise Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Jacob Perrett J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Jacob Perrett	126	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 2nd of 9 at this track Bm82 on June 26 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Bellini Spritz with 121lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Inverell Cl1 on January 1 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bolt Away Now with 123lbs at $7. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.