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Resulted

IE - Killarney - Race 2

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
20.4f
Sweepstakes Hurdle
Turf
Good (Good to Yielding in places)
21.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BIRDIE OR BUST hasn't run over hurdles since finishing third in the 2024 Dawn Run, but she's entitled to run a big race on these terms. Murcia looks interesting stepping up to 2½m and could be the main danger, with stablemate Diamond Du Berlais completing the shortlist.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Birdie Or Bust (Ire) silk

Useful hurdler in 2023/24 (third in Dawn Run). Not same force in this sphere but did land first of her 2 chase successes at this track last year. Latest Punchestown run was step back in right direction, and she's well treated by the conditions of the race on return to hurdles.

1st Pick
6

Birdie Or Bust (Ire)

Jockey: Harry Cobden

Trainer: Henry De Bromhead, Ireland

J: Harry Cobden

T: Henry De Bromhead, Ireland

100---23%

Analysis

Useful hurdler in 2023/24 (third in Dawn Run). Not same force in this sphere but did land first of her 2 chase successes at this track last year. Latest Punchestown run was step back in right direction, and she's well treated by the conditions of the race on return to hurdles.

2
Murcia (Fr) silk

Grade 1 winner at Aintree as a juvenile. Plenty of useful form in defeat last season. Handled test of speed when comfortable winner of mares conditions hurdle at Listowel (2m) in late May. First try over 2½m unlikely to be a stiff test and expected to go well again with Paul Townend returning.

2nd Pick
2

Murcia (Fr)

Jockey: P. Townend

Trainer: W. P. Mullins, Ireland

J: P. Townend

T: W. P. Mullins, Ireland

96---63%

Analysis

Grade 1 winner at Aintree as a juvenile. Plenty of useful form in defeat last season. Handled test of speed when comfortable winner of mares conditions hurdle at Listowel (2m) in late May. First try over 2½m unlikely to be a stiff test and expected to go well again with Paul Townend returning.

4
Diamond Du Berlais (Fr) silk

Useful ex-French hurdler. Made a winning start for current yard at Ludlow in February before career-best sixth in Grade 2 Dawn Run at Cheltenham. Unsuited by emphasis on speed in 2m Punchestown listed event subsequently. Has been freshened up and should be seen to better effect back up in trip.

3rd Pick
4

Diamond Du Berlais (Fr)

Jockey: B. Hayes

Trainer: W. P. Mullins, Ireland

J: B. Hayes

T: W. P. Mullins, Ireland

98---25%

Analysis

Useful ex-French hurdler. Made a winning start for current yard at Ludlow in February before career-best sixth in Grade 2 Dawn Run at Cheltenham. Unsuited by emphasis on speed in 2m Punchestown listed event subsequently. Has been freshened up and should be seen to better effect back up in trip.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.