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6:43 AM

AU - Mackay - Race 8

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
21.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

INCA TRAIL (6) is a speedy galloper who is long overdue for a win with a long line of placings. Low draw and looks the speed here. Will take catching. LINE 'EM UP LOUI (12) got home hard to score in easier grade last time. Going very well and looks drawn to stalk the pace and get home late. ALABAMA MOONLIGHT (9) has scored back-to-back wins at Townsville. Freshened for this and coming back in trip. Tricky gate but will be winding up late. SIGIRIYA ROCK (2) is a former Victorian returning for a new yard and presents fitter for two trials. Could well be too good on best figures. COLLEANO (10) is down in weight and draw for a good run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Inca Trail silk

Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Rockhampton Cl3 on July 11 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind El Fortress with 139lbs at $1.90. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton Bm70 on June 19 over 6 ½f, slow going head behind Italian Riviera carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Overdue and looks tough to beat in this line-up.

1st Pick
6

Inca Trail

Jockey: Les Tilley

Trainer: Adam & Dallas Simpson

J: Les Tilley

T: Adam & Dallas Simpson

115---27%11/4

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Rockhampton Cl3 on July 11 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind El Fortress with 139lbs at $1.90. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton Bm70 on June 19 over 6 ½f, slow going head behind Italian Riviera carrying 127lbs at $3.20. Overdue and looks tough to beat in this line-up.

12
Line 'em Up Loui silk

Most recently favourite, won by a long-neck at this track Bm60 June 23 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Humble Hero carrying 136lbs at $2.30. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm65 on June 11 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Lucky Lass carrying 130lbs at $3.40. In form and sure to get all the favours from the low draw.

2nd Pick
12

Line 'em Up Loui

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Stephen Massingham

122---14%13/2

Analysis

Most recently favourite, won by a long-neck at this track Bm60 June 23 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Humble Hero carrying 136lbs at $2.30. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm65 on June 11 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Lucky Lass carrying 130lbs at $3.40. In form and sure to get all the favours from the low draw.

9
Alabama Moonlight silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Comes here off a 47-day let-up. At the latest run won by 2 len at Townsville Cl3 May 31 over 1m defeating Misterkipchoge with 132lbs at $4.80. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Townsville Bm60 May 8 over 7f in soft going defeating Parch with 132lbs at $5.50. Likely to feature again.

3rd Pick
9

Alabama Moonlight

Jockey: Lacey Morrison

Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe

J: Lacey Morrison

T: Trevor & Peter Rowe

87---12%15/2

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Comes here off a 47-day let-up. At the latest run won by 2 len at Townsville Cl3 May 31 over 1m defeating Misterkipchoge with 132lbs at $4.80. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Townsville Bm60 May 8 over 7f in soft going defeating Parch with 132lbs at $5.50. Likely to feature again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.