AU - Mackay - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Keen on the former South East Queenslander GUAC ON (1). Ran very well first try for the new yard with a fast finishing fourth and will appreciate the extra ground. Looks tough to stop. MOOCHI STARLIGHT (4) has won two of three this time in. Got back to last and stormed home to score last time which was not his usual pattern to lead. Has the inside and in top form so looks a leading chance again. RAVENITE (8) just missed here two back then off best last time. Certainly worth another chance. EMILIA JANE (5) is a former NSW galloper back from a break. Fitter for a trial and has Wiggins. Must be respected. LUCKY DUCK (3) is a former Victorian who will be winding up late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after two months 4th of 11 at Townsville Bm60 on June 28 over 5f, 2 len behind Gamadale Nip with 134lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm68 on April 8 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Moulin Miss with 126lbs at $9. Ran well first try for new yard and looks hard to hold out. 1st Pick 1 Guac On Jockey: Mitch Goring Trainer: Zac Mcfarlane J: Mitch Goring T: Zac Mcfarlane	117	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months 4th of 11 at Townsville Bm60 on June 28 over 5f, 2 len behind Gamadale Nip with 134lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm68 on April 8 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Moulin Miss with 126lbs at $9. Ran well first try for new yard and looks hard to hold out.
4	Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a long-neck at Rockhampton 0 - 55 July 11 over 5 ¼f on a soft track defeating Spitzberg with 131lbs at $4.80. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Rockhampton 0 - 55 on June 19 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Billy Boom carrying 128lbs at $8. Take catching off the inside draw. 2nd Pick 4 Moochi Starlight Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: John Wigginton J: Warwick Satherley T: John Wigginton	134	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a long-neck at Rockhampton 0 - 55 July 11 over 5 ¼f on a soft track defeating Spitzberg with 131lbs at $4.80. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Rockhampton 0 - 55 on June 19 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Billy Boom carrying 128lbs at $8. Take catching off the inside draw.
8	Last start 5th of 8 at this track 0 - 55 on July 2 over 6 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Whatta Whitt with 127lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track Bm55 on June 23 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Cryoseisms carrying 126lbs at $7. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Ravenite Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon Trainer: Wayne Pomfrett J: Tahlia Fenlon T: Wayne Pomfrett	118	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 8 at this track 0 - 55 on July 2 over 6 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Whatta Whitt with 127lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track Bm55 on June 23 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Cryoseisms carrying 126lbs at $7. Certainly worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

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Condition Book

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Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.